AuTuMN is a diverse group of researchers working on modelling tuberculosis transmission to inform policy makers in their decisions to improve TB control in their countries.

The AuTuMN software platform was developed by our team of clinicians, modellers, economists and epidemiologists. It is based upon our mathematical model that has been used to simulate TB control programs in a range of settings and countries, including China, India, South Africa and Papua New Guinea.
AuTuMN News
The world can't afford to forget tuberculosis
In a captivating article written for the Policy Forum, James Trauer describes the threat posed by TB and the rising challenges for its global control. This article reminds that TB is not only an issue for the developing countries and that strong and reliable commitment from the developed world is more than ever needed to ensure universal health coverage.

You can read the article here.
Workshop in Moldova
AuTuMN, among four other modelling teams, recently facilitated a workshop on application of mathematical models in assessing cost and impact of TB control program in the EURO, held in Chisinau, Moldova, 28-30 June 2017.

The workshop aimed to familiarise country participants with the available disease transmission models and costing tools and explore their potential use in the context of each national programs for estimating resource needs and maximizing impact of available resources for an accelerated response to end TB in the region. It was organised by the Stop TB Partnership and the Global Fund in collaboration with the WHO. Twelve countries in the region participated in the workshop.
Congratulations to James Trauer
Congratulations to James Trauer, who has been appointed as a rotating committee member for TB-MAC - the TB Modelling and Analysis Consortium. James was one of four successful applicants from around the world selected to serve on the committee over the course of the next three years from a field of high-quality applicants.

James will be travelling to Geneva in September to attend TB-MAC's face-to-face meeting on coordination of global TB modelling and analysis activities.
A web-based interface to assist the fight against drug-resistant TB
We have created a user-friendly interface to quantify the respective contributions of the different causes leading to multidrug-resistant or rifampicin-resistant TB at re-treatment.

This interface is publicly available here and was introduced in a correspondence article in BMC ID.
New publications
Check out the most recent publications of our group here.

In particular, read about:
  • An exploration of the modelling of latent TB infection,
  • An investigation of the causes leading to drug-resistance at retreatment,
  • The risk of global epidemic replacement with drug-resistant TB,
  • An exploration of controlled fire use in early humans as possible cause for the emergence of TB.
New publication: PNG operational modelling
Our article entitled "Scenario Analysis for Programmatic Tuberculosis Control in Western Province, Papua New Guinea" will be published soon in the American Journal of Epidemiology.

In this paper, Trauer and colleagues present an exploration of different scenarios of programmatic response to control the TB and MDR-TB epidemics that are striking Western Province in Papua New Guinea.

Read more about this paper
New publication: MDR-TB in our region
In a commissioned editorial and linked podcast in the Medical Journal of Australia, AuTuMN's James Trauer and the Alfred Hospital's Allen Cheng discuss the importance of multidrug-resistant TB to Australia and the Asia-Pacific Region. They note that MDR-TB threatens control programs in Australia's region and will not diminish without concerted efforts.

Read this article